Winder Underdog's Soccerbetting Philosophy
5 Reasons Why Underdogs Are the Smart Bet in Soccerbetting
Underdog or favorite? It's a choice we make everyday
throughout the Soccer season.While there are certainly times when favorites
warrant our attention, my experience tells me that betting underdogs
is the best way to make money in Soccerbetting. Here are 5 reasons why
you should pay special attention to the dogs every season.
1. Not every win is created equal
Favorites Odds tends to be on the low side ranging
from 1.70-1.85. It doesn't serve much value especially if you are betting
big considering you risk $1000 on a singles even if you did win,you
only managed a $700 to $825 profit.With a 3 bets/per day system which
i'm adopting a typical scenario of 1 win 1 draw and 1 loss situation
would results in a viguorish loss of $150-$300.However if you are betting
on underdogs the odds tends to range from $1.975-$2.15 with the scenario
of 1 win 1 draw and 1 loss situation would results in minimal viguorish
loss or more often a profit due to the value odds.
2. Underdogs don't get any respect!
They don't get it from the public, sometimes leading
to higher than deserved spreads. More importantly, they don't get it
from their opposition.Good teams can sometimes take bad teams lightly
(especially if players and coaches minds are on other things, like next
week's tougher opponent). Research and an understanding of historical
trends can reveal great situations in which underdogs are poised for
an upset.
3. The Public Can't Help Itself
The average bettor loves the popular teams (favorites),
oftentimes pushing lines unreasonably high. In fact, almost every week,
with the right research, you can spot teams that should be favorites
but are getting points against a popular team that has been installed
as a favorite due to the public "bandwagon effect.?
4. Got Courage?
Most bettors don't have the courage to go with certain
underdogs. They see a (perceived) good team versus a (perceived) bad
team and assume it won't be a contest. They have formed an opinion about
how horrible some teams are based on a recent blowout or past personal
gambling loss. Again, with the right combination of statistical and
situational research, some undervalued dogs can be spotted each week.
There are also certain situations in which bad teams have historically
and reliably outperformed their average. Match that with a historically-proven
situation in which favorites under-perform and you have yourself a reliable
upset scenario.
5.What It All Means
Obviously just playing all underdogs is not the answer
(that would yield you approximately 50% wins and a negative account
balance). However, with the right research, you can spot some very high-value
underdog winners each week.
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